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    軍事
     

    準確把握政治軍事仗的時代特征

    人民出版社  www.chayexinxiwang.com  2019-08-06        來源: 解放軍報 作者:張丙辰

      引言:政治軍事仗,是指以實現政治目的和政治需求為統領,以軍事力量和戰爭手段為支撐,謀求政治性、戰略性勝利的戰爭行為。進入新時代,隨著時代條件、科學技術、世界格局的變化,人類的戰爭形態和戰爭樣式正在發生著迅速而深刻的演變。密切關注、深入研究這些變化,善于從政治和戰略高度把握其整體趨勢和本質特征,有助于增強軍事斗爭準備主動性、針對性和有效性,打好當今時代的政治軍事仗。 

      軍事與政治、經濟的聯動性、依賴性進一步加深,戰爭的綜合性、整體性大大增強,意味著當今時代戰爭的內涵和外延正在超越和突破傳統戰爭的概念范疇 

      政治多極化、經濟全球化、科技信息化的迅猛發展,使世界變為聯系日益緊密的整體,戰爭的關聯因素顯著增多、復雜性不斷增強。人們所熟知的刀光劍影的傳統戰爭,正在越來越多地受到政治、經濟、外交等因素的制約。2007年,美國人拋出混合戰爭理論,提出未來戰爭戰與非戰的界限將更加模糊,作戰樣式將更趨融合。世界近幾場戰爭就展示了政治、經濟、文化、外交等多種斗爭手段與有限的軍事打擊行動相配合的圖景。混合戰爭理論的出現,實際上反映了當今世界在經濟全球化深度發展、各國之間聯系日趨緊密的情況下,單純使用軍事手段難以達成戰爭戰略目的的現實困境。特別是世界大國之間的博弈較量,因其手中都握有足以毀滅對方的大規模殺傷性武器,單純運用軍事手段戰勝對手已經很難想象。因此,綜合運用政治、軍事、經濟、文化、貿易、外交等多種斗爭手段,以“組合拳”方式達成戰爭的政治和戰略目的,就成為大國博弈時為數不多的選項之一。當今時代,打好政治軍事仗,就應確立與時代發展相適應的戰爭指導理念,不斷增強戰略思維的開放性、策略選擇的靈活性、手段運用的綜合性,以整體運籌贏得戰爭主動、以綜合施策達成戰略目的。

      “世界處于百年未有之大變局”使戰爭的時代條件發生重大變化,實現國家利益最大化成為各國戰略運籌的重要原則,意味著當今時代戰爭正在超越和突破單純以意識形態劃線的思維范式 

      與冷戰期間往往以意識形態和政治制度劃線不同,在當今國際關系中,國家利益因素越來越成為處理國家關系的重要考量,實現國家利益最大化,成為各國進行戰略調整和戰略運籌的重要原則。特別是“世界處于百年未有之大變局”的時代條件下,國家利益的內涵和外延都發生了明顯變化,不僅需要捍衛以傳統的領土領海主權為內核的“邊疆利益”,也需要有效維護以國家利益拓展為內核的“利益邊疆”。思考和籌劃戰爭戰略問題,必須堅持國家利益至上重要原則,抓住用好世界多極化、經濟全球化、社會信息化、文化多樣化的發展大勢,在互利共贏基礎上擴大合作國家的范圍,通過承擔和履行諸如國際護航行動、國際反恐合作、國際維和任務等國際責任,在展現和塑造負責任大國形象的同時,不斷提升運用軍事力量維護國家海外利益的能力,增強在全球治理特別是國際安全領域的話語權和影響力。當今時代,打好政治軍事仗,就應與時俱進地更新思維理念,深刻理解把握“世界處于百年未有之大變局”帶來的機遇與挑戰,緊緊圍繞維護好實現好國家利益進行戰略運籌,以國家戰略牽引軍事戰略,以軍事戰略服務支撐國家戰略。

      金融帝國主義階段的到來使戰爭目標發生明顯變化,金融和貨幣主導權斗爭日益成為戰略博弈的重要內容,意味著當今時代戰爭正在超越和突破傳統戰爭的目標指向和戰略重點 

      有研究國際關系的學者認為,美國稱霸世界主要依靠兩個工具,一是美軍,二是美元。美國超強的軍事實力,為美元的世界貨幣地位提供了重要力量支撐,而美元則成為美國“收割世界”的重要手段。應該看到,世界資本主義經過近二三百年的發展,現已進入到金融帝國主義階段,而金融帝國主義主要是依靠金融操控和資本運作來賺取經濟利益。當今美國金融帝國主義的一個顯著特征,就是憑借美元在世界貨幣體系中的主導地位,通過周期性地“剪羊毛”行為獲取巨量金融利益。美國為了維護自身金融霸權地位,凡是對美元構成威脅的幣種和國家,都會被其視為對美國國家根本利益的重大挑戰,都會不遺余力地采取包括軍事手段在內的一切手段進行打壓遏制。當今時代,打好政治軍事仗,就應深刻洞察當前世界貨幣主導權之爭的深層本質及其對國家核心利益的重大影響,強化軍事手段的保底意識,堅決懾止敵對勢力通過制造緊張形勢引發一國金融動蕩、資本外逃乃至金融災難的險惡圖謀,為維護國家的金融安全提供堅強的力量保證。

      “恐怖核平衡”的現實困境使戰爭方式受到明顯制約,“支點戰爭”成為世界大國戰略博弈的重要方式,意味著當今時代戰爭正在超越和突破大規模全面戰爭的既有模式 

      這里的所謂“支點戰爭”,是指世界大國從其戰略利益需要出發,主動選取與其利益攸關的某一國家或地區作為戰略支點,通過在此設局布勢、升級沖突,達到打擊和消耗戰略對手的目的,并以此撬動戰略全局向預期方向發展的新的戰爭方式。其突出特點是戰爭的設計性、規模的有限性、戰場的選擇性,是以點狀或局部區域性軍事行動達成全局性、戰略性目的。黨的十九大報告指出,“世界正處于大發展大變革大調整時期,和平與發展仍然是時代主題。”特別是在確保相互摧毀的核戰略背景下,世界大國之間爆發大規模全面戰爭、甚至核戰爭的可能性微乎其微,這就使得“支點戰爭”成為大國進行戰略博弈時為數不多的選項之一。2018年4月13日晚,美國聯合英、法等國對敘利亞進行“精準軍事打擊”,就屬于“支點戰爭”的典型戰例。美國企圖通過精心設計這次軍事行動,達到一石多鳥的目的。現在,如何發揮軍事力量的戰略功能有效塑造態勢、管控危機、遏制戰爭、打贏戰爭,成為必須回答好的重大現實課題。當今時代,打好政治軍事仗,就應善于從地緣政治棋局、利益博弈格局、軍事行動戰局等維度觀察和思考戰爭問題,不斷豐富完善我軍的軍事理論和作戰思想,為構建全球性安全保障體系提供前瞻性理論支撐。

      高新科技在軍事領域的運用和網絡信息時代的到來使戰爭環境條件發生顯著變化,“透明戰場”和“直播戰爭”成為現實,意味著當今時代戰爭中輿論法理斗爭和心理攻防的地位顯著上升 

      現代戰爭是“玻璃罩里的戰爭”,戰場環境高度透明,新聞媒體全程介入,作戰雙方一舉一動都暴露在世人眼前,使“得道多助、失道寡助”的效應更加凸顯,輿論法理斗爭和心理攻防對奪取戰略主動的重要性顯著增強。一方面,情報監視與偵察技術的快速發展和戰場態勢感知體系的日益完善,偵察衛星、偵察飛機、各型雷達以及紅外微光等地面傳感器,構成了空地海天全方位、大縱深、多層次的立體偵察監視體系,使戰場透明化成為信息化戰爭的突出特征。另一方面,網絡信息技術和新媒體的迅速發展與普及,為輿論和媒體深度介入創造了條件,同時也使媒體通過“直播戰爭”直接影響戰爭進程成為可能,輿論媒體已經成為影響戰爭進程的重要變量。正是由于上述兩種因素的影響,使得戰場透明化、戰爭直播化的趨勢日益明顯。在未來信息化戰爭中,如果不能正視和適應戰場環境條件發生的這些新變化,仍沿用“舊船票”,就可能登不上“新客船”,就可能出現贏了軍事輸了政治、贏了局部輸了整體的局面。當今時代,打好政治軍事仗,就應積極適應戰場透明化、戰爭直播化的發展趨勢,把武力打擊、法理爭奪、心理攻防一體設計,使戰場軍事打擊與輿論法理斗爭相互配合,努力爭取軍事仗與政治仗的雙贏。

    責任編輯:米云港

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